Uncertainty Analysis in Distribution Networks Integrated with Renewables by Probabilistic Collocation Method

Manisha Maharjan, Abhishek Banerjee, Rajesh G. Kavasseri

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

Increased penetration of distributed generation (DG) driven by Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) sources and integration of modern loads constituted by Electric Vehicles (EV) and behind-the-meter smart appliances pose operational challenges for traditional distribution systems. This paper introduces a framework based on probabilistic collocation method (PCM) to model and analyzes the effects of inherent uncertainties, both in generation, and load, on distribution systems. First, the uncertainties are modeled by statistical distributions that closely mimic their physical behavior and studied through Monte-Carlo (MC) simulations. Later, an analytical PCM based approach is formulated and designed on the modified IEEE 13-node test feeder including VRE. A comparative study demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed PCM based uncertainty modeling in distribution feeders with lesser computational burden and improved accuracy.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2020 52nd North American Power Symposium, NAPS 2020
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781728181929
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 11 2021
Event52nd North American Power Symposium, NAPS 2020 - Tempe, United States
Duration: Apr 11 2021Apr 13 2021

Publication series

Name2020 52nd North American Power Symposium, NAPS 2020

Conference

Conference52nd North American Power Symposium, NAPS 2020
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityTempe
Period04/11/2104/13/21

Keywords

  • Probabilistic collocation method
  • distribution feeder
  • monte-carlo
  • uncertainties
  • variable renewable energy

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