TY - GEN
T1 - Enhanced Bayesian THERP-Experiences from HRA method Evaluation
AU - Bladh, Kent
AU - Holmberg, Jan Erik
AU - Oxstrand, Johanna
AU - Pyy, Pekka
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - The Enhanced Bayesian THERP (Technique for Human Reliability Analysis) method has been subject to evaluation within the framework of the "International HRA Empirical Study" using simulator data in order to better know its characteristics from a more international perspective. This paper gives an overview of the Enhanced Bayesian THERP method with major experiences from predictive analyses within the International HRA Empirical Study. Some possible reasons behind more or less successful predictions compared to experimental results will be elicited. Based on lessons learnt, strengths and potential weaknesses of the method will be discussed. Finally, a number of possible improvement areas have been identified for consideration in future development of the method.
AB - The Enhanced Bayesian THERP (Technique for Human Reliability Analysis) method has been subject to evaluation within the framework of the "International HRA Empirical Study" using simulator data in order to better know its characteristics from a more international perspective. This paper gives an overview of the Enhanced Bayesian THERP method with major experiences from predictive analyses within the International HRA Empirical Study. Some possible reasons behind more or less successful predictions compared to experimental results will be elicited. Based on lessons learnt, strengths and potential weaknesses of the method will be discussed. Finally, a number of possible improvement areas have been identified for consideration in future development of the method.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84861691071
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84861691071
SN - 9780415604277
T3 - Reliability, Risk and Safety: Back to the Future
SP - 2411
EP - 2418
BT - Reliability, Risk and Safety
T2 - European Safety and Reliability Annual Conference: Reliability, Risk and Safety: Back to the Future, ESREL 2010
Y2 - 5 September 2010 through 9 September 2010
ER -