Comparison of Approaches for Adversary Modeling Decision Support for Counterterrorism

Barry Ezell; Gregory S. Parnell

doi:10.1007/978-1-4939-1705-1_9

Comparison of Approaches for Adversary Modeling Decision Support for Counterterrorism

Barry Ezell
, Gregory S. Parnell

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

Abstract

Intelligent adversaries are a fundamental component of terrorism risk analysis. Unlike natural and engineering hazards, intelligent adversaries adapt their behavior to the actions of the defender. They adapt to observed, perceived, and imputed likely future actions by those defending the system they are attempting to influence. Risk assessment models need to consider these potential adaptive behaviors to be able to provide accurate estimates of future risk from intelligent adversaries and appropriately support risk management decision making.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Understanding Complex Systems
Publisher	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages	179-197
Number of pages	19
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-1705-1_9
State	Published - 2015
Externally published	Yes

Publication series

Name	Understanding Complex Systems
ISSN (Print)	1860-0832
ISSN (Electronic)	1860-0840

Keywords

Bayesian Network
Decision Tree
Fault Tree
Homeland Security
Logic Tree

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10.1007/978-1-4939-1705-1_9

Cite this

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AB - Intelligent adversaries are a fundamental component of terrorism risk analysis. Unlike natural and engineering hazards, intelligent adversaries adapt their behavior to the actions of the defender. They adapt to observed, perceived, and imputed likely future actions by those defending the system they are attempting to influence. Risk assessment models need to consider these potential adaptive behaviors to be able to provide accurate estimates of future risk from intelligent adversaries and appropriately support risk management decision making.

KW - Bayesian Network

KW - Decision Tree

KW - Fault Tree

KW - Homeland Security

KW - Logic Tree

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85144136886

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BT - Understanding Complex Systems

PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

ER -

Comparison of Approaches for Adversary Modeling Decision Support for Counterterrorism

Abstract

Publication series

Keywords

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