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An event tree/fault tree/embedded markov model approach for the psam-8 benchmark problem concerning a phased mission space propulsion system

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Abstract

The object of analysis of the proposed benchmark exercise is a system of ion propulsion for a science mission to the outer solar system. The propulsion system consists of a single propellant tank and 5 propulsion assemblies. The mission consists of 7 phases with different durations and requirements for the number of operational assemblies. The objective of the benchmark exercise is to determine the time dependent reliability of the propulsion system over the planned mission duration using the provided reliability data. Mission success implies success of all phases. The solution approach here undertaken uses fault-tree/event-trees (ET/FTs) for each functional mode (start up, shut down, operation and no-operation) to generate the transition probabilities of a discrete-time, inhomogeneous embedded Markov chain consisting of 11 states. Results of the study show that assembly failure during Start Up and the Shut Down functional modes of the propulsion system significantly contribute to mission failure.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006
StatePublished - 2006
Event8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006 - New Orleans, LA, United States
Duration: May 14 2006May 18 2006

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006

Conference

Conference8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityNew Orleans, LA
Period05/14/0605/18/06

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