A Clustering Based Scenario Generation Method for Stochastic Power System Analysis

Binghui Li, Jie Zhang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

Ahstract-A critical step in stochastic optimization models of power system analysis is to select a set of appropriate scenarios and significant amounts of scenario generation methods exist in the literature. This paper develops a clustering based scenario generation method, which aims to improve the performance of existing scenario generation techniques by grouping a set of correlated wind farms into clusters according to their cross-correlations. Copula based models are utilized to model spatiotemporal correlations and the Gibbs sampling is then used to generate scenarios. Our results show that the generated scenarios based on clustered wind farms outperform existing approaches and can provide a better characterization of wind power uncertainties.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2019 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2019
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9781728119816
DOIs
StatePublished - Aug 2019
Event2019 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2019 - Atlanta, United States
Duration: Aug 4 2019Aug 8 2019

Publication series

NameIEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
Volume2019-August
ISSN (Print)1944-9925
ISSN (Electronic)1944-9933

Conference

Conference2019 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityAtlanta
Period08/4/1908/8/19

Keywords

  • Cluster analysis
  • Gibbs sampling
  • Probabilistic forecast
  • Scenario generation

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